All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Marion Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
Riverview Health Flashrock Invite |
Metro Interscholastic Conference |
Marion County |
North Central JV Invite |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/2 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
| Team Rating |
480 |
380 |
497 |
453 |
455 |
463 |
|
490 |
557 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
380 |
497 |
453 |
455 |
463 |
|
490 |
557 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Marion Invitational |
BC Eagle Classic |
Riverview Health Flashrock Invite |
Metro Interscholastic Conference |
Marion County |
North Central JV Invite |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 190 |
Ellen Baker |
10 |
20:18 |
19:49 |
20:51 |
20:08 |
20:24 |
20:21 |
|
20:13 |
20:14 |
20:24 |
| 199 |
Rahiwa Tezera |
9 |
20:21 |
20:36 |
21:08 |
20:10 |
20:23 |
20:37 |
|
19:57 |
20:18 |
20:07 |
| 282 |
Aj Jackson |
9 |
20:42 |
20:31 |
20:31 |
21:06 |
20:20 |
20:30 |
|
20:41 |
21:26 |
|
| 382 |
Jane Hirschman |
11 |
21:03 |
20:47 |
21:15 |
20:19 |
21:19 |
20:19 |
|
21:19 |
21:37 |
|
| 454 |
Gabby Green |
11 |
21:17 |
20:02 |
20:14 |
21:21 |
20:48 |
22:49 |
|
22:20 |
21:21 |
|
| 639 |
Caleigh Brewer |
11 |
21:46 |
21:16 |
21:16 |
22:46 |
21:57 |
21:45 |
|
21:33 |
21:55 |
|
| 727 |
Reagan Shaar |
9 |
21:58 |
21:50 |
21:26 |
22:35 |
21:46 |
22:12 |
|
|
|
|
| 732 |
Holle Guntz |
12 |
21:59 |
22:29 |
|
21:55 |
21:42 |
21:37 |
|
22:00 |
22:18 |
|
| 790 |
Ellen Osterman |
9 |
22:07 |
|
|
22:26 |
21:55 |
22:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 888 |
Zoe Munn |
9 |
22:21 |
23:20 |
|
22:30 |
22:10 |
22:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,253 |
Raionce Rodney |
9 |
23:07 |
22:52 |
|
23:21 |
22:59 |
23:11 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,318 |
Eleanor Reno |
9 |
23:15 |
|
|
23:26 |
23:19 |
23:24 |
22:47 |
|
|
|
| 1,348 |
Klaine Friend |
10 |
23:19 |
|
|
23:56 |
23:07 |
23:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
Alexandra Davis |
11 |
23:43 |
23:43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sophia Knoll |
9 |
24:04 |
|
|
24:14 |
23:37 |
23:50 |
24:46 |
|
|
|
|
Caroline Cox |
9 |
24:38 |
|
|
23:11 |
24:49 |
25:06 |
24:40 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
7.9 |
204 |
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
4.7 |
20.1 |
62.3 |
9.7 |
3.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.1 |
103 |
|
|
0.7 |
89.4 |
8.8 |
1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellen Baker |
0.0% |
110.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellen Baker |
66.7% |
59.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
66.7% |
66.7% |
| Rahiwa Tezera |
58.5% |
60.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58.5% |
58.5% |
| Aj Jackson |
11.3% |
72.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.3% |
11.3% |
| Jane Hirschman |
0.3% |
91.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
0.3% |
| Gabby Green |
0.1% |
111.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellen Baker |
100% |
33.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Rahiwa Tezera |
100% |
34.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Aj Jackson |
100% |
43.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jane Hirschman |
100% |
51.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Gabby Green |
100% |
57.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Caleigh Brewer |
100% |
65.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Reagan Shaar |
100% |
69.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ellen Baker |
14.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
8.2 |
12.6 |
13.2 |
16.8 |
15.6 |
12.1 |
8.2 |
5.3 |
2.4 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
| Rahiwa Tezera |
15.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
4.8 |
9.2 |
13.9 |
13.7 |
17.1 |
13.5 |
10.8 |
7.2 |
4.2 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
| Aj Jackson |
19.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
4.7 |
8.9 |
13.8 |
14.7 |
14.7 |
12.5 |
10.5 |
5.9 |
4.5 |
1.5 |
| Jane Hirschman |
23.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
3.8 |
6.7 |
8.4 |
11.8 |
11.7 |
11.6 |
9.9 |
| Gabby Green |
27.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
5.5 |
7.9 |
9.6 |
| Caleigh Brewer |
34.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
| Reagan Shaar |
36.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
